JESSE COLOMBO: The Silver Squeeze Has Officially BEGUN!
JESSE COLOMBO: The Silver Squeeze Has Officially BEGUN!
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For the past several weeks, I've been writing articles and creating video presentations about an imminent silver breakout that could quickly push prices to $50. During this time, I've observed significant investor cynicism, as many grew frustrated with silver's sideways movement over the last five months. In that content, I encouraged investors to remain confident, as I believed silver was on the brink of a historic bull market. Sure enough, on Friday, what began as a typical day saw silver surge nearly 7%, meeting the criteria I had outlined to confirm the next phase of its bull market. In this article, I will break down the details of silver's Friday breakout and explain why a powerful silver squeeze has now officially begun.
The key criterion I outlined to confirm the next leg of the silver rally was simple yet widely overlooked by investors and surprisingly difficult to achieve: the spot price of silver must decisively close above the $32.50 resistance level, supported by strong trading volume. The $32.50 resistance level was set at the May high, after which silver retreated and stagnated over the summer. Silver made attempts to break through this level on September 26th and October 4th, but both attempts failed, resulting in further pullbacks. Silver's impressive $2.02 (6.38%) surge on Friday, accompanied by trading volume more than double the prior week’s average, definitively fulfills that criterion. (A caveat to consider is that if silver closes back below the $32.50 resistance level, it would invalidate Friday’s bullish signal. However, I find that scenario unlikely.)
The next condition I outlined was that silver priced in euros must decisively close above the €30 resistance level, which was established at the May peak. I stated that this event would help confirm a close above $32.50, greatly reducing the chances of it being a false breakout. I find it valuable to analyze silver priced in euros, as this approach removes the impact of U.S. dollar fluctuations, offering a clearer view of silver's intrinsic strength or weakness. Notably, silver priced in euros often respects round numbers like €26, €27, and €28, frequently establishing key support and resistance levels at these points. On Friday, silver finally broke through the €30 level with such momentum that it even closed above €31, signaling the strong potential for further gains in the coming week.
Gold, a major driver of silver prices, is generating a strong tailwind for silver after breaking through two key resistance levels since September. By every measure, gold is in a confirmed uptrend, and I believe it’s on track to reach $3,000 in the near future. This momentum should continue to bolster silver’s rally. While gold reaching $3,000 might a bit far-fetched, it's actually quite realistic, as it's just over a 10% increase from today’s price.
Silver mining stocks are also important to watch for confirming silver's price movements, as they often mirror investor sentiment toward the metal. The Global X Silver Miners ETF (symbol: SIL), the most heavily traded silver mining stock ETF, had been stuck in a flat range since April. I've been stating that a strong, high-volume close above the $36 to $38 resistance zone would indicate that both silver and silver mining stocks are primed for a major breakout—and that's exactly what occurred on Friday. I believe that those who were lamenting the poor performance of silver mining stocks will soon be singing a different tune!
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